The Bitcoin market is once again witnessing a powerful shift driven by one of its most influential groups: long-term holders. Over the past 30 days, investors who have held their Bitcoin for at least six months have collectively accumulated a staggering 800,000 BTC—a new all-time high in net inflow. This unprecedented accumulation signals deep confidence among seasoned investors, even as Bitcoin soars past $100,000 in 2025.
This surge isn't just a number—it's a market signal with historical significance and strong implications for future price action. As new records are set on-chain, understanding the behavior of long-term holders becomes essential for both investors and traders navigating this evolving landscape.
Record-Breaking Accumulation by Seasoned Investors
According to data from CryptoQuant, the 30-day change in Long-Term Holder (LTH) supply has reached +800,000 BTC. This milestone has only occurred six times in Bitcoin’s history, underscoring its rarity and importance. What sets this event apart is that it’s happening after a major price breakout, not during a dip—indicating that experienced investors aren’t cashing out; they’re doubling down.
👉 Discover how on-chain trends can reveal the next major market move.
These long-term holders—often referred to as "diamond hands"—have weathered multiple market cycles, including brutal bear markets and explosive bull runs. Their continued accumulation despite elevated prices reflects a strong belief in Bitcoin’s long-term value proposition. At a time when many might expect profit-taking, these investors are instead treating higher prices as an opportunity to build larger positions.
Historical Precedents Point to Major Price Moves
Past patterns suggest that surges in long-term holdings often precede significant upward momentum. As noted by CryptoQuant analyst Darkfost, similar peaks in LTH supply occurred in July 2021 and September 2024—both of which were followed by substantial price rallies.
- In July 2021, Bitcoin had stabilized around $30,000–$40,000 after a sharp correction. The accumulation phase that followed laid the groundwork for a rally toward $69,000.
- In late 2024, another wave of long-term buying emerged near $75,000, preceding a breakout beyond six figures.
These historical parallels suggest that current accumulation could be setting the stage for further gains—especially if macroeconomic conditions remain favorable and institutional adoption continues to grow.
The Strategic Price Range: Where Confidence Meets Value
CryptoQuant data reveals that much of the recently accumulated Bitcoin was purchased within the $95,000 to $107,000 range. This zone now serves as a critical psychological and financial anchor for long-term investors.
For whales and institutional players, this price window appears to represent a “comfort zone” where Bitcoin is still seen as fundamentally undervalued despite its nominal price. If the market experiences a pullback, this range could act as strong support—defended aggressively by those who recently entered at these levels.
In essence, we’re seeing a new floor being established—not based on technical indicators alone, but on real buying activity from informed participants.
Short-Term Holders: The Speculative Counterbalance
While long-term holders demonstrate conviction, short-term holders (STHs)—those who’ve owned Bitcoin for less than six months—paint a more cautious picture. Their aggregate cost basis sits slightly below $100,000, with Glassnode identifying the **$93,000 to $98,000** range as a key support zone.
As long as Bitcoin trades above $93,000, most speculative investors are likely to hold. However, a sustained break below this threshold could trigger panic selling among weaker hands, potentially accelerating downside momentum.
This creates a dynamic tension in the market:
- Bullish pressure from long-term accumulation.
- Bearish risk from short-term vulnerability near key support.
Currently trading at $107,336, Bitcoin sits comfortably above both zones—but the battle lines are clearly drawn.
👉 See how real-time data can help you stay ahead of market shifts.
Market Implications: A Battle Between Conviction and Speculation
The current state of the Bitcoin market reflects a delicate balance between two powerful forces:
- Long-term conviction: Investors accumulating at record highs.
- Short-term sensitivity: Traders watching support levels closely.
This duality is not contradictory—it’s cyclical. Historically, strong accumulation phases by long-term holders create the foundation for extended bull markets. When early buyers hold through volatility, they reduce circulating supply, increasing scarcity and upward pressure on price.
Meanwhile, short-term traders provide liquidity and momentum—but they also introduce volatility. Their behavior tends to amplify both rallies and corrections.
What This Means for Investors and Traders
- For long-term investors: You're aligned with some of the most informed players in the market. Continued accumulation by LTHs suggests confidence that this rally has room to run.
- For active traders: Monitor the $93,000–$98,000 zone closely. A breakdown could signal short-term weakness; a bounce could confirm strength and invite further upside.
Ultimately, the dominance of long-term holders tilts the odds in favor of bulls—but only as long as key supports hold.
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)
Q: Who are considered long-term holders in Bitcoin?
A: Long-term holders are defined as addresses that have not moved their Bitcoin for at least 155 days (approximately six months). These investors typically exhibit strong conviction and are less reactive to short-term price swings.
Q: Why is the 800,000 BTC accumulation significant?
A: It's rare for long-term holders to accumulate after a major price increase. Doing so indicates strong belief in future appreciation, reducing available supply and increasing scarcity-driven demand.
Q: What happens if Bitcoin drops below $93,000?
A: A sustained drop below $93,000 could trigger selling pressure from short-term holders who bought near recent highs. This may lead to further downside until new support forms.
Q: How do on-chain metrics help predict price movements?
A: On-chain data reveals actual wallet behavior—like accumulation or distribution—providing insight into market sentiment beyond price charts. Tools like LTH supply changes offer leading indicators of potential trend shifts.
Q: Is Bitcoin still a good investment at over $100,000?
A: For long-term investors, yes—especially given ongoing scarcity trends and institutional adoption. However, entry at high prices requires risk management and a clear investment horizon.
Q: Can history repeat itself after previous LTH peaks?
A: While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, historical patterns show that major LTH accumulation phases have consistently preceded significant rallies—making the current trend highly值得关注 (note: replaced with English).
👉 Access advanced on-chain analytics tools to track market sentiment in real time.
Final Outlook: Strength Lies in Scarcity
Bitcoin’s current trajectory is being shaped less by hype and more by structural shifts in ownership. The record accumulation by long-term holders underscores a growing belief that Bitcoin is entering a new phase—one defined by reduced volatility, increased institutional participation, and stronger resistance to sell-offs.
While short-term fluctuations will always occur, the underlying trend favors those who hold. As history shows, when patient investors buy aggressively—even at all-time highs—the market tends to reward that confidence over time.
For now, the message is clear: the smart money isn’t exiting—it’s expanding its position.
Core Keywords: Bitcoin long-term holders, BTC accumulation, on-chain analysis, Bitcoin price prediction 2025, long-term holder supply, short-term holder support, Bitcoin market sentiment, BTC on-chain data