HBAR Price Prediction: Can Hedera Break $0.22 and Rally to $0.32?

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Hedera’s native cryptocurrency, HBAR, is quietly building momentum for a potential breakout as it rebounds from a key weekly demand zone. Currently trading around $0.188, HBAR has successfully defended strong support levels and is now showing early signs of a reversal. The price action closely mirrors a historical fractal pattern previously seen in Cardano’s explosive 2021 bull run, sparking renewed optimism among crypto analysts.

With HBAR consolidating just below a critical resistance level at $0.22**, a decisive breakout could trigger a significant upward move toward **$0.32—and possibly beyond. This article dives into the technical structure, key price levels, and market dynamics shaping HBAR’s next major move.

HBAR Price Mirrors Cardano’s 2021 Bull Run Pattern

One of the most compelling technical arguments for HBAR’s bullish potential comes from crypto analyst Maelius, who recently highlighted a striking similarity between HBAR’s current price structure and Cardano’s (ADA) trajectory in 2020–2021.

According to Maelius, HBAR recently broke out of a long-term diagonal resistance trendline and retested the accumulation zone between $0.17 and $0.19. This range has historically served as strong support and now forms a solid foundation for a potential bullish continuation.

“Despite not liking fractals, I’ve found $ADA had a pretty much similar structure in 20/21,” Maelius noted on X (formerly Twitter). “HBAR is now doing pretty much the same.”

This pattern includes:

In Cardano’s case, this sequence preceded a massive rally that saw ADA surge from under $0.20 to over $3.00 within 12 months. While past performance doesn’t guarantee future results, the structural parallels are hard to ignore.

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Current Market Metrics and Price Behavior

As of the latest data from CoinGecko, HBAR is priced at $0.1882, reflecting a modest 2.58% decline over the past week. However, zooming out reveals a more constructive picture.

On May 23, 2025, HBAR briefly spiked to $0.2081**, fueled by strong trading volume that peaked at **$231 million in a single day. Since then, the price has pulled back to retest support, with 24-hour volume stabilizing at $137.58 million—a sign of healthy market participation rather than capitulation.

This consolidation phase is widely viewed as a necessary step before the next impulsive leg higher. Analysts suggest that as long as HBAR holds above $0.17, the bullish structure remains intact.

The retest of the accumulation zone increases the probability of a successful breakout, especially if accompanied by rising volume and positive market sentiment.

Key Resistance and Target Levels to Watch

Another prominent analyst, @CW8900, has drawn attention to the $0.22 resistance level, referring to it as the “sell wall”—a psychological and technical barrier that must be overcome for sustained upside momentum.

A clean break above $0.22 could open the door for a rapid rally toward **$0.32, particularly given the lack of major resistance levels in between. This scenario would mirror Hedera’s own price behavior in late 2021, when a similar breakout led to a multi-month rally that pushed HBAR above $0.50**.

Beyond $0.32, the next significant resistance lies around **$0.50**, which marks the all-time high from September 2021. Reclaiming this level would signal strong institutional and retail interest returning to the ecosystem.

Core Support and Resistance Zones:

Market participants are closely watching volume trends and on-chain activity for confirmation of accumulation. A surge in exchange inflows or whale movement could serve as an early warning signal of an impending breakout.

HBAR Fundamentals: Market Cap, Supply, and Liquidity

From a macro perspective, HBAR maintains a market capitalization of $7.95 billion, placing it among the top 30 cryptocurrencies by valuation. With 84% of its 50 billion token supply already in circulation, the network benefits from high liquidity and broad distribution—key factors that support healthy price discovery and reduce volatility risks.

Unlike some newer projects with large uncirculated supplies that could flood the market later, Hedera’s relatively mature supply schedule reduces uncertainty for long-term investors.

Additionally, Hedera Hashgraph continues to expand its real-world use cases in areas like:

These developments contribute to sustained demand for HBAR, both as a utility token and for network security through staking.

👉 Explore how blockchain tokens are evolving beyond speculation into real utility.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

What is the significance of the $0.22 resistance level for HBAR?

The $0.22 level acts as a psychological and technical barrier known as a "sell wall." A confirmed breakout above this zone could trigger automated trading algorithms and FOMO-driven buying, accelerating momentum toward $0.32.

Is HBAR undervalued compared to its previous all-time high?

Yes. At $0.188, HBAR trades significantly below its September 2021 peak of $0.50. Given improved network adoption and macroeconomic tailwinds, many analysts believe it remains attractively priced for long-term investors.

How does the Cardano fractal comparison support HBAR's price prediction?

Both HBAR and ADA experienced prolonged downtrends followed by accumulation phases and diagonal resistance breakouts. Historically, such patterns have preceded major rallies in altcoins when confirmed by volume.

What happens if HBAR fails to break $0.22?

Failure to突破 $0.22 could lead to extended sideways consolidation or a drop back toward $0.17. However, as long as this lower support holds, the overall bullish outlook remains intact.

Can HBAR reach $0.50 again?

Reaching $0.50 is feasible if current momentum continues and broader crypto markets remain bullish. This would require sustained adoption, positive regulatory developments, and increased institutional interest.

What factors could accelerate HBAR’s price surge?

Key catalysts include:

Final Outlook: Is HBAR Poised for a Major Move?

HBAR is at a pivotal juncture. The confluence of technical structure, historical fractal patterns, solid support, and growing institutional interest paints an optimistic picture for the months ahead.

While short-term volatility is expected, the path toward $0.32** appears increasingly plausible if HBAR clears **$0.22 on strong volume. Should momentum build further, a retest of the $0.50 range could become a realistic target—especially if macro conditions favor risk assets.

Investors should monitor key levels closely and watch for volume confirmation before making strategic entries.

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For traders and long-term holders alike, HBAR represents more than just a speculative play—it reflects growing confidence in scalable, enterprise-ready blockchain infrastructure with tangible use cases across industries.

As the crypto market evolves, projects like Hedera Hashgraph may play an increasingly central role in bridging traditional finance with decentralized innovation.

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