Bitcoin Set for Worst Weekly Performance in Six Months as Mt Gox Repayment Looms

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Bitcoin slumped to a one-month low on Friday, heading for its worst weekly performance in six months amid profit-taking following a prolonged rally and growing market anxiety over the potential liquidation of long-dormant funds tied to the defunct Mt Gox exchange.

During Asian trading hours, bitcoin dropped 1.6% to $55,980 — the lowest level since mid-October — marking a 20% pullback from its recent all-time high. The cryptocurrency has now declined approximately 14% this week, breaking below the key 50-day moving average, a technical threshold often watched by traders as a sign of weakening momentum.

Market Pressure Mounts Amid Profit-Taking and Legacy Risks

The downward pressure reflects a combination of short-term profit realization and longer-term structural concerns. After a stellar year in which bitcoin has gained over 90%, many investors are cashing in on their gains, contributing to increased selling volume.

Matthew Dibb, Chief Operating Officer at Singapore-based crypto asset manager Stack Funds, noted that the current environment is defined by mounting selling pressure. He expects bitcoin could find support around the $53,000 level, but cautioned that volatility may persist in the near term.

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“The market is seeing a wave of profit-taking,” Dibb explained. “At the same time, news that Tokyo courts have approved a repayment plan for Mt Gox creditors has reignited concerns about potential supply overhang.”

The Mt Gox Shadow: A Legacy Threat Resurfaces

Mt Gox, once the world’s largest bitcoin exchange, collapsed in 2014 after losing approximately 850,000 bitcoins — worth around $5 billion at the time — due to a massive security breach. Since then, the bankruptcy proceedings have moved slowly, with creditors awaiting compensation for over a decade.

Now, with court approval granted for the distribution plan, there is rising speculation that affected creditors could receive their settlements in early 2025, possibly triggering a wave of bitcoin sales. While not all recipients are expected to sell immediately, the mere possibility of thousands of long-dormant bitcoins re-entering circulation has unsettled traders.

“This introduces uncertainty into the market,” Dibb said. “Even if only a portion of these funds are sold, the psychological impact could weigh on sentiment and prices in the short to medium term.”

Broader Crypto Market Feels the Chill

The sell-off isn’t limited to bitcoin. Ether, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, held near a three-week low of $4,014 on Friday and is also on track for a roughly 14% weekly decline.

Both assets have been influenced not only by internal crypto-specific factors but also by broader macroeconomic trends. Global financial markets have recently adopted a risk-off stance amid concerns about inflation, central bank policy shifts, and economic growth outlooks.

Edward Moya, senior analyst at OANDA, emphasized that while long-term fundamentals for bitcoin remain strong, near-term volatility is likely.

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“Bitcoin’s long-term outlook remains bullish,” Moya said. “However, over the coming months, we could see increased turbulence as institutional investors closely monitor whether the Federal Reserve will be forced to accelerate rate hikes — a move that typically pressures risk assets like equities and cryptocurrencies alike.”

Understanding Investor Sentiment in Times of Volatility

Despite the recent downturn, many analysts maintain confidence in bitcoin’s role as a hedge against inflation and monetary expansion. Its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins continues to underpin its value proposition, especially in an era of expansive fiscal policies worldwide.

Yet, investor behavior during volatile periods often diverges from long-term logic. Fear and uncertainty can drive short-term price action more than fundamentals, particularly when legacy events like the Mt Gox repayment enter the spotlight.

Historically, large unlocks or distributions of dormant assets have led to temporary price dips — but markets have typically recovered as selling pressure dissipates and new demand emerges.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQ)

Q: Why is Mt Gox still affecting bitcoin prices today?
A: Although Mt Gox collapsed in 2014, its creditors are only now set to receive repayments in bitcoin. The potential influx of thousands of coins back into circulation creates supply-side concerns, even if actual selling is limited.

Q: Is a 14% weekly drop unusual for bitcoin?
A: While significant, such corrections are not uncommon in cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin has historically experienced sharp drawdowns following extended rallies, often recovering over time.

Q: Could this downturn signal the end of the bull run?
A: Most analysts believe this is a healthy correction rather than a trend reversal. With strong adoption trends and institutional interest continuing, many expect upward momentum to resume after consolidation.

Q: How does macroeconomic news affect crypto prices?
A: Cryptocurrencies increasingly behave like risk assets. Rising interest rates, inflation data, and central bank decisions can influence investor appetite for volatile assets like bitcoin and ether.

Q: What technical levels should investors watch right now?
A: Key support for bitcoin is seen around $53,000. A break below could lead to further downside, while holding above that level may indicate stabilization ahead of a potential rebound.

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Looking Ahead: Volatility Ahead, But Fundamentals Intact

While the combination of profit-taking, Mt Gox-related fears, and macroeconomic uncertainty has created headwinds for digital assets this week, the broader narrative remains intact. Adoption continues to grow — from corporate treasuries to financial institutions integrating blockchain technology — and regulatory clarity is slowly improving in major markets.

For long-term holders, periods like these often present strategic entry points. For traders, they offer opportunities to reassess positioning and manage risk.

In summary, while bitcoin faces near-term challenges, its underlying strength — driven by scarcity, decentralization, and increasing legitimacy — suggests that this correction may be part of a larger maturation process rather than a reversal of fortune.

As always in crypto markets, staying informed and maintaining discipline can make all the difference between reacting emotionally and acting strategically.